Liverpool return to league action on the back of a morale-boosting midweek win over Inter Milan in the Champions League, extending their unbeaten run in all competitions to four matches. There are signs Arne Slot is starting to get a response from this squad again, but domestically the momentum has been patchy. Back-to-back draws against newly promoted Sunderland and Leeds highlight ongoing control issues, particularly in games they’re expected to dominate. Anfield has not been the fortress it once was either, with Liverpool winning just two of their last seven home league matches.

Goals, however, have not been in short supply. Both teams have scored in three of Liverpool’s last five matches, and defensive reliability remains questionable. Historically, this fixture tends to open up: Liverpool have lost just one of their last five meetings with Brighton across all competitions and have only been beaten once at home by the Seagulls in the Premier League era. Crucially from a betting perspective, both teams have scored and over 2.5 goals have landed in each of the last six head-to-heads, a trend that’s hard to ignore.

Brighton arrive in the North West in solid form, losing just one of their last six league games. They are unbeaten in their last two away outings and continue to play on the front foot, with both teams scoring in three of their last four matches. The Seagulls have netted at least twice in four of their last six league games and are proving difficult to put away, evidenced by five draws from 15 league fixtures this season. That draw tendency matters, especially against a Liverpool side struggling to fully impose themselves at home.

Betting angle & lean:
Given Liverpool’s home inconsistency, Brighton’s attacking output, and the strong historical goal trends in this matchup, the clearest value sits in the goals market.

• Primary lean: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals

• Secondary angle: Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score (higher risk, bigger price)

A high-tempo, open game looks likely again. Liverpool may still have enough quality to edge it, but expecting a clean sheet or a low-scoring affair would be optimistic.